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A free download of "Acrobat
Reader" is available.
It will be needed to download assignments, sample tests, solutions, etc.
SOME COURSE INFORMATION
Prerequisites: Math A30 + Math B30
Lectures: MWF 2:30-3:20 PM
Location: 143 Arts Bldg.
Text:
"Elementary Probability:
STATS 103.3",
a custom published manual containing material
from three sources.
This text was first used in 2003-2004.
The text was reprinted for Term 2 with better quality print than the Term 1 version.
The U of S Bookstore sold the second printing at $47.40, but this may be changed for this year.
Used copies of both printings are likely available.
SOME GENERAL COMMENTS ABOUT STATS 103.3
STATS 103.3 and MATH 101.3 were new in 1999-2000, together replacing the old MATH 102.6.
MATH 101.3 is a course in elementary Calculus.
STATS 103.3 is a course in elementary Probability.
Algebraic skills (e.g. factoring, working with fractions and exponentials) learned in high school mathematics
are essential for success in MATH 101.3 but are less crucial for success in STATS 103.3.
STATS 103.3 presents an introduction to probability and random variables,
topics which together provide useful preparation for courses in statistical methods
If you will be taking a course like STATS 244.3, 245.3 or 246.3, PL SC 314.3, or PSY 233.3,
you would find STATS 103.3 to be a useful (but not necessary) prerequisite.
CAUTION
STATS 103.3 is a course in elementary probability, NOT a course in statistical methods.
Credit for STATS 103.3 may be received in addition to 3 or 6 credit units
in introductory statistics
taken from a list provided in the University Calendar, provided that STATS 103.3
is taken first.
Students who complete STATS 103.3 and then complete ECON 204.6, will receive
only 3 credit units for ECON 204.6.
Additional details are available at "Statistics Course Regulations" on page 95 of the 2004-2005 University Calendar,
or visit http://www.usask.ca/calendar/arts&science/policies/statscourseregulations/
For additional regulations regarding first-year courses in Mathematics and Statistics,
link to http://www.usask.ca/calendar/arts&science/programs/programs/math&stats/#anchor13
Week 1: Sets, subsets, the algebra of sets, Venn diagrams; counting using Venn and tree diagrams.
Week 2: Random experiments; the sample space; events; properties of probability; probability in the case of equally likely outcomes; probability as relative frequency; subjective probability
Week 3: Counting principles: Multiplication Principle; Permutations; Combinations; applications to probability.
Week 4: Combinatorial probability problems; urn models; sampling with and without replacement; addition rules; rule of the complement; mutually exclusive events; odds. Canadian lotteries.
Week 5: Conditional probability; independence; multiplication rules.
Week 6: Partitions; law of total probability; Bayes' Theorem.
Week 7: Discrete random variables; probability functions; probability distributions; Hypergeometric distribution.
Week 8: Graphical displays; expected values (mathematical expectation), mean, standard deviation; Chebyshev's Inequality.
Week 9: Bernoulli trials; Binomial and Geometric Distributions.
Week 10: Negative Binomial, Hypergeometric, and Poisson Distributions.
Week 11: Continuous random variables; Normal Distribution. Applications of the Normal Distribution.
Week 12: Central Limit Theorem; Normal approximation to Binomial.
Week 13: Exponential Distribution and applications.
SOME COURSE COMMENTS (Tentative plans)
1. Three term tests will be given on selected Wednesdays during the Winter term. Each will count 10% towards your final grade.
2. Regular assignments will be given and will count, in total, 15% towards your final grade.
3. The final examination will be three-hours in duration, will be comprehensive of all course material, and will count 55% towards your final grade.
4. A failing grade in the course will be given to any student scoring less than 35% on the final examination or who fails all of the tests and the exam.
5. Make-up tests will not be given. If a student misses a test for a legitimate, verifiable reason (e.g. illness, family problems),
the 10% for that test will be reassigned to the final examination. A student who otherwise misses a test will receive a mark of zero on it.
6. Tests and the final examination are "closed book" and multiple-choice. Calculators are allowed.